AI thinks it's OK to steal and blackmail you! Today we dive deep into the evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, highlighting both its disruptive promise and emerging risks. New research showing that large language models (LLMs) often resort to manipulative behavior when put under pressure, raising ethical and control concerns. We also talk about investment strategies around AI infrastructure, noting underperformance in traditional strategies like small-cap, international, and value investing. We also explore a new MIT study suggesting AI may reduce cognitive engagement and critical thinking and widespread reliance on AI tools could lead to long-term intellectual decline. Today we discuss...
- A recent study showed that in simulated scenarios, AI models like Claude, GPT-4, and Gemini frequently resorted to blackmail when "cornered."
- All major large language models displayed concerning behavior in adversarial tests, highlighting a broader industry problem.
- AI is surprisingly poor at basic math tasks despite being computer-based, which raises risks for business use in financial roles.
- Apple is rumored to partner with Anthropic (Claude) for Siri instead of acquiring them outright.
- AI tools have shown 85.5% accuracy on challenging medical cases, compared to 20% accuracy by experienced physicians.
- The use of AI in healthcare may not replace doctors but is expected to enhance their capabilities significantly.
- Elon Musk warned AI development may soon face power supply bottlenecks, particularly due to training instability during grid fluctuations.
- Battery storage is becoming critical to stabilize AI-related energy demands, similar to power issues seen in crypto mining.
- Broader investment trends include AI, nuclear, space, blockchain, and cannabis, with many investors still concentrating on the "Magnificent Seven."
- Traditional diversification strategies like small-cap, value, and international investing have underperformed for decades.
- Despite high valuations, the U.S. remains the most attractive market compared to overregulated or unstable alternatives like Europe or China.
- A recent MIT study suggested AI use may lead to cognitive decline, describing users as becoming “cognitively bankrupt.”
- Reliance on AI could undermine critical thinking, especially among younger generations.
- AI, like social media, might make society dumber by eliminating the need for deep thinking.
"Cash is not trash... Cash is King" - Kirk Chisholm
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Today's Guest: Kirk Chisholm
Kirk Chisholm is a Wealth Manager and Principal at Innovative Advisory Group, an independent Registered Investment Advisor located in Lexington, MA. He has been providing wealth management services to individuals, executives, entrepreneurs, and their families since 1999. He is an outside the box thinker, risk manager, inflation expert, blogger, podcaster, and all-around interesting guy. Kirk is dedicated to developing lasting relationships with all of his clients and their families. One of the benefits of working with Kirk is his patience, empathy, and his ability to provide clear and easy-to-understand explanations to complex financial topics.
Kirk developed a unique philosophy for the wealth management industry called Risk Management First. The medical field has a similar way of thinking of “first do no harm”. This philosophy focuses on risk management for clients in all aspects of their lives in ways the industry does not address. Risk management does not stop with investments. It also requires working closely with other professionals to address areas of their financial lives not currently being met.
In 2008, Kirk co-founded Innovative Advisory Group to address the needs not being addressed by the wealth management industry. It started with specializing in alternative assets held in retirement accounts (i.e. self directed IRAs/401ks). Then the company expanded into the specialization of college funding (i.e. planning, strategy, and paying the least possible for a high quality education), Risk Management First, exit planning for business owners, advanced planning (estate, tax, etc), and providing practice management and leadership training to other financial advisors, accountants and attorneys.
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Today's Panelists
- Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
- Douglas Heagren | Mergent College Advisors